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IMF growth projections for the Horn of Africa, 2025
Economy Bar Horn of Africa Download

IMF growth projections for the Horn of Africa, 2025

Published by Xogsawir, a Jaantus project. 21 October 2025.

IMF projections for 2025 put real growth in the Horn of Africa on five different trajectories. Ethiopia and Djibouti remain in the six-to-seven percent range. Kenya's economy edges up to 4.8 percent. South Sudan rebounds to about 24 percent from a deep contraction tied to the disruption of its oil pipeline. Sudan returns to positive growth at 3.2 percent after a 23 percent collapse linked to its conflict. Somalia slows to 3.0 percent from 4.1 percent the year before, the only Horn economy projected to decelerate. Sub-Saharan Africa as a whole is forecast to grow 4.1 percent.

Sources

  1. IMF World Economic Outlook, October 2025 Real GDP growth projections. Accessed 20 October 2025.

Notes

Figures are real GDP growth in annual percent change. South Sudan's swing reflects oil pipeline recovery; Sudan's reflects conflict-driven macroeconomic instability. The Sub-Saharan Africa aggregate is the IMF regional total.

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